I've read Nate Silver and FiveThirtyEight steadily for the last few months, and have been reading all the news reports I can get my hands on, esp Josh Marshall and Matt Yglesias, watching MSNBC mostly, and of course reading the angst from my social media friends who are all appear to be Clinton supporters. So that's where my input is coming from.

Now I want to tell you something.

I have a very strong feeling that it's in the bag for Hillary, that she's already won the election, despite all of Nate Silver's caution about polling errors. 

I think there's one very important thing that the polls can't measure. 

And it is this...

Voting for Trump is an act of insanity. 

I see this as fact, not opinion. 

And, a bunch of Trump voters, when it comes time to flip the lever, are going to say wait a minute, that felt good for a while, but I can't actually do this, and they'll vote for Clinton, because..

Voting for Clinton, while it may not be inspiring for some, it is the sane thing to do, and it's also the right thing to do.

Now I don't know if this will happen to a large number Trump voters, but it'll happen to enough to make this an easy win for Hillary. The states we think will be close won't. She'll win Florida, North Carolina, Virginia, Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, Nevada and Colorado. All of them.

That's what I think is going to happen. My stake is in the ground. I could be wrong. I often am. But I wanted to say it publicly since it is such a strong feeling. 

PS: Please don't take this so seriously that you don't vote. I am voting on Tuesday. You must too! 

PPS: I just gave another $100 to hillaryclinton.com.