By Dave Winer on Tuesday, January 03, 2012 at 3:53 PM.
People say I'm an optimist for thinking the Internet will always exist, even though there's an Unternet. But I think I'm a realist. Here's why.
1. They will Disnify the protocols we now think of as The Internet. I don't think it's a matter of probability, it's a certainty.
2. What that means is that using the net will become more like going to the movies or watching TV. A programmed experience. Your choice is which channel to watch, but all the channels will have the same stuff, so it's not actually a choice.
But then Dave, you say, isn't that the Unternet snuffing out the Internet?
To which I would say is that there will have to be a new protocol. That's all.
There was the equivalent of the Internet in Soviet Russia and there is one in China today. People find a way not only to have seditious thoughts, but to share them. No matter what the barriers are.
The people of the United States are spoiled. They think if it's hard to be free then we won't be free. But they don't know.
When we need to communicate directly, person to person, instead of through corporate media, we will find a way to do it.
That doesn't mean the ride is going to be easy. But if you think it hasn't taken a lot of hard work and hail mary's to get to where we are with the net today, as it is, you don't understand how we got here.